Climate Change

View from the 4hills
“View from the 4hills”
Dr Johannes Bauer
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Dr Johannes Bauer, an environmental scientist has been a close observer of the global negotiations around climate change since 2009 when, as Chief Technical Advisor of UN REDD for the United Nations he participated at the highest levels. After the development of the Australian Carbon Cooperative, registered in 2013 and never operational, mostly because of government policy abandoning a price on carbon he now advises Bhutan’s Community Forestry Programme on the development farm forestry methods and shifts which will allow landowners to participate and benefit from future payments for improved management. He still has not given up the dream that such might also be possible in Australia and works with similar minded farmers to develop the first cooperative project around farm forestry in Australia. As a pillar board member in Ecology and Climate Change of the Ecological Agriculture Association of Australia he believes that adaptation and mitigation to a changing climate is a unique opportunity to turn around current trends in Australian farming which work against farmers, against consumers and against the environment.

Towards the 2015 Paris Climate Accord.

By Johannes Bauer | 21 November, 2015

What we already can tell before the talks in Paris start

End of November many thousands of delegates and participants will arrive in Paris to discuss the future of the world.  In the lead-up there has been growing activity in cyberspace and the momentum still grows. Organisation from around the world have already made their contributions and there is unprecedented pressure and expertise from research institutions, development agencies, civil society, the UN itself, World Bank, even IMF, on leaders to act. There are now also groups of countries, like SIDS (Small Island Developing States) which are in despair on what already happens to them. They have stopped mincing words: Blaming the developed world for a destroyed future. A lot of money has already been spent also. Every development agency and NGO has by now redesigned their climate change agenda. Norway alone has over the past 10 years given more than US$ 135 million to promote climate projects to the NGO sector alone. As a first, most countries have submitted their Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) and we already have some tangible evidence on what we are willing to do (pay). We have also, a first, a comprehensive analysis by many institutions on what went wrong with the past COP (Conference of Parties) meetings of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). So, this year, in Paris we can, before the talks start, make a fair assessment if what we intend to do adds up. Well, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA) the answer, simply put, is no. The IEA report stated that “If stronger action is not forthcoming after 2030, the path in the INDC Scenario would be consistent with an average temperature increase of around 2.6 °C by 2100 and 3.5 °C after 2200”. So what we INTEND to do is still not quite good enough. Even if the INTENTIONS were followed up- and we know all about such. But on the other hand we at least have some idea where the world now stands, we have a foundation of consensus and we can work towards improving it. Obama and the Pope have joined the action even.

A seismic shift in our willingness to act

As science keeps coming in, new organisations develop and fine-tune their message, Obama and the Pope weigh in, and action, even consensus grows, for example a near universal condemnation of the coal industry and the fossil fuel sector. I would suggest that a seismic shift has happened this year which will lead to … continue reading

 

The full article can be found here.


More on Climate Change:

Coal Atlas 2015

Thoughts on climate change and the greening of the economy

Climate Change, Ethics and the role of Ecological Agriculture | EAAA Position Paper

What we want from the Climate Agreement | IFOAM – Organics International

Popularising Climate Science | By Johannes Bauer 

 

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